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Coco Keeps Winning, Another Ball Drama, Alcaraz vs. Dimitrov & More

Plus, a WTA data breach? 😬

by Allen McDuffee

Mar 7, 2026

FIRST SERVE

THE DAILY THEORY

Coco Keeps Winning, Another Ball Drama, Alcaraz vs. Dimitrov & More

Good morning from Tennis Paradise, Court Theorists! β˜•οΈπŸŒ΄πŸ˜Ž

Today’s tennis mood: Blustery with some serious heartwarming vibes.

Let’s tennis!
-Allen

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🎾 Winning ugly is still winning: Coco Gauff overcame wind and a 2-5 deficit (not to mention a set point) in the second set to take the win over Kamilla Rakhimova, 6-3, 7-6. During and after the match, criticism rolled in β€” both online and on the grounds β€” that the world number four wasn’t looking so sharp, with many wondering if she would be out of the tournament sooner than later. What we all should have learned by now is that Coco is not always going to produce stunning tennis. That’s not the only way she wins β€” and that is a virtue, not a shortcoming.

  • What she said: β€œIt’s hard with the [windy] conditions. She makes you play a lot of balls and uncomfortable shots. It’s never easy,” Gauff said after the match. β€œI felt like if I could get into the tiebreaker, I feel like I have a pretty good tiebreak record. I knew the odds were in my favor when the tiebreaker started.”

  • Next: In the third round, Gauff faces Alex Eala, who pulled off a gutsy three-set win on Friday night over Dayana Yastremska.

🎾 A note from Jennifer Brady: I briefly chatted with Jenny Brady yesterday morning and conveyed the positive vibes many of you have expressed to me over the last several months as she made her way back into competitive tennis. And, as a note to all of you: β€œTell all of your readers I said hi and that I really appreciate all of their support over these years.” πŸ’™

🎾 A different kind of ball drama: In The Daily Theory yesterday, we discussed how the players are puzzling and strategizing over how the new balls are being torn up after just a few minutes of play. Well, here’s one we didn’t see coming…during Clara Tauson’s match against Yulia Putintseva, as the chair umpire said, β€œnew balls, please,” the court crew came to the realization there were none. That resulted in a 15-minute delay while all involved awaited a ball delivery, which wasn’t great news for Tauson, who had gone from serving up 4-3 to immediately getting broken to even things up. In the end, she won 7-6, 6-2.

🎾 One to watch: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov (2nd round - ATP 1000 - Indian Wells): Watch this one purely for the entertainment value of two contrasting styles of play, which have produced some incredibly fun tennis across eight meetings.

  • The record: Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head record over Grigor Dimitrov 4-2.

  • On the line: For Alcaraz, this is about getting acclimated to the conditions of Indian Wells β€” the wind, the bounce, and the balls. Meanwhile, Dimitrov is just trying to notch some wins on the year, which haven’t come freely. This one is also a tough ask.

🎾 πŸ† 🎀 YOUR CALL

Who do you want to win today?
  • Carlos Alcaraz
  • Grigor Dimitrov

Login or Subscribe to participate

(Yesterday’s poll results: 80% of you called for Ben Shelton to defeat Reilly Opelka. Shelton won, 6-7, 7-6, 6-3.)

And that’s game.

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Now booking: Monte-Carlo, Roland-Garros, Wimbledon & more!

Matches we’re monitoring today:

Indian Wells - WTA 1000 (Hard)

  • Hailey Baptiste vs. Elena Rybakina (2nd rd)

  • Jessica Pegula vs. Donna Vekic (2nd rd)

  • Kayla Day vs. Iga Swiatek (2nd rd)

  • Mirra Andreeva vs. Solana Sierra (2nd rd)

  • Madison Keys vs. Diane Parry (2nd rd)

  • Marta Kostyuk vs. Taylor Townsend (2nd rd)

  • Maria Sakkari vs. Lilli Tagger (2nd rd)

  • Sonay Kartal vs. Emma Navarro (2nd rd)

  • Katerina Siniakova vs. Leylah Fernandez (2nd rd)

  • Katie Volynets vs. Jelena Ostapenko (2nd rd)

  • Antonia Ruzic vs. Qinwen Zheng (2nd rd)

  • Liudmila Samsonova vs. Ashlyn Krueger (2nd rd)

Indian Wells - ATP 1000 (Hard)

  • Novak Djokovic vs. Kamil Majchrzak (2nd rd)

  • Jack Draper vs. Roberto Bautista Agut (2nd rd)

  • Jacob Fearnley vs. Taylor Fritz (2nd rd)

  • Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca (2nd rd)

  • Sebastian Korda vs. Alex de Minaur (2nd rd)

  • Ugo Humbert vs. Alex Michelsen (2nd rd)

  • Valentin Vacherot vs. Nuno Borges (2nd rd)

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Arthur Rinderknech (2nd rd)

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Corentin Moutet (2nd rd)

  • Andrey Rublev vs. Gabriel Diallo (2nd rd)

πŸ“Ί Learn how to watch today’s action over at Tennis Watchers.

πŸ’¬ For real-time match commentary and conversation, follow Court Theory on Bluesky.

  • The WTA may have had a data breach, which has led to multiple players being targeted by gamblers.

  • From the beginners to the pros, wind is the sworn enemy of all tennis players β€” and it has come to the desert, Matt Futterman writes at The Athletic.

  • Wim Fissette sits down for a fascinating Q&A about working with Iga Swiatek.

  • Harri Heliovaara recounts the harrowing events of playing the final in Dubai and the uncertainty of sheltering in place β€” all with his young children in tow.

  • …and his doubles partner, Henry Patten, opened up about how anxiety took over in that situation.

  • The style report: A close-up view of Naomi Osaka’s leopard look at Indian Wells.

  • Aryna Sabalenka sure did wear her 12-carat engagement ring during her first match at Indian Wells.

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